Again
there is no managerial bias. Lokomtiv Moscow have an unusually small
squad so the top 21 figure has been increased to stop it skewing the
mean.
Firstly
it is worth noting that Division 2 has an overall average of 88.23
compared to Division 1 of 89.7. Less difference than one might think.
To
survive in division 1 , you are likely to need a rating above 88, this
in reality rules out all teams below Borussia M for promotion, as things
stand.
The
2 star sides are Dortmund and PSG. PSG have an attack better than any
defence , whereas Dortmund should have more possesion than any other
team in the league. PSG perhaps lack depth but should still gain
automatic promotion.
There
is then a group of closely matched teams, often the way in division 2 ,
all of whom could win the league, get automatic promotion or a playoff
spot. Napoli and Schalke use a potent attack. Tottenham will be tough
at the back, with Roma being a good all round team.. Roma have good
depth but poor deep strength which is an interesting condundrum for
their boss.
Hanging on their coat tales, the remaining playoff contenders, Wolfsburg, Zenit , Galatasaray, Borussia M.
Wolfsburg and Zenit are defensively strong, probably a good idea against the stronger attacking opponents already mentioned
Then we have the twilight zone teams, not good enough for promotion, but too good for releagation. Mostly they lack the depth of a division 1 squad, while still having quality. One or two of these squads could well challenge early on but will drop back as the season progresses. Athletic Bilbao could well be that team.
There do seem to be 3 firm favourites for relegation with Sunderland just sitting above them. Boca do have depth and they would be my favourites to surprise. St Etienne and Benfica will struggle all season and it is doubtful that they will have the where with all to drag themselves out of a relegation scrap.
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