Division 3 the tale of the tape.
How does Division 3 match up to the 2 top flight positions.
Division 3 easy up , easy down, most peoples perception of this league. High risk , high gain.
GK | def | mid | att | top 15 | top 21 | |||||
Monaco | 88 | 89 | 89 | 90 | 87 | 85 | 88 | |||
Ajax | 91 | 90 | 89 | 89 | 86 | 83 | 88 | |||
Shaktar | 88 | 90 | 88 | 90 | 87 | 85 | 88 | |||
Marseille | 91 | 87 | 90 | 88 | 86 | 84 | 87.66667 | |||
Hamburg | 88 | 88 | 88 | 88 | 87 | 85 | 87.33333 | |||
Lille | 89 | 87 | 88 | 89 | 85 | 85 | 87.16667 | |||
Aston Villla | 87 | 87 | 88 | 88 | 86 | 86 | 87 | |||
CSKA | 89 | 89 | 89 | 89 | 84 | 82 | 87 | |||
Swansea | 88 | 87 | 88 | 89 | 86 | 84 | 87 | |||
Besitkas | 87 | 87 | 87 | 87 | 86 | 85 | 86.5 | |||
Sampdoria | 88 | 88 | 88 | 89 | 84 | 82 | 86.5 | |||
Leiscester | 87 | 87 | 88 | 89 | 85 | 82 | 86.33333 | |||
Sassuolo | 88 | 87 | 87 | 88 | 85 | 82 | 86.16667 | |||
Stoke | 88 | 88 | 87 | 89 | 85 | 80 | 86.16667 | |||
Cruziero | 87 | 86 | 87 | 89 | 85 | 82 | 86 | |||
Hoffenheim | 88 | 87 | 87 | 87 | 85 | 82 | 86 | |||
Crystal Palace | 86 | 87 | 86 | 87 | 85 | 84 | 85.83333 | |||
Basel | 86 | 87 | 87 | 87 | 86 | 82 | 85.83333 | |||
PSV | 87 | 87 | 88 | 87 | 85 | 80 | 85.66667 | |||
Bordeaux | 88 | 87 | 88 | 86 | 85 | 80 | 85.66667 |
The average rating is 86.7 , compared to 89.7 in Division 1 and 88.15 in Division 2, so we kind of drop 1.7/ 1.8 rating points per division. Using the same theory as last time you probably need around a rating of 87 to survive in division 2 , which would mean a much smaller field of possible promotees from Swansea up .
There is also much less depth , almost all teams lack a full strength squad but all at least have at least 1 capable sub in all positions.
It is easy to see that Monaco, Ajax , Shaktar and Marseille all have that bit extra to challenge for the top spot. Ajax may well be able to put out the most convincing first team and with a capable keeper could be joint favourites with Marseille.
The following 5 teams as previously mentioned could well challenge for automatic promotion or a playoff spot.. CSKA are the most potent but perhaps lack enough to challenge all season , so an early good start is essential. Lille also have a good top and tail meaning they will always threaten.
From Besitkas down to Hoffenheim is there a surprise lurking in the murky depths. Well Sampdoria are a kind of inferior version of CSKA, so again an early start for them is vital.
As for the relegation candidates you could argue that it is more the lack of players outside the regular starters that will cost them, therefore they may get off to a good start but fade as time goes by, the only exception being Basel who ironically have the depth but no strength.
Excellent & insightful Malcolm, dreading you getting to Div 5 !!!!!
ReplyDelete